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MARKET ALERT December 12 th-2011

MARKET ALERT December 9th-2011

 


 

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Professional News and Economic Reports; Online Media Monitoring  company Watch,  Press Releases Dissemination; News Aggregation  & Syndication Services Last update:Tuesday, January 24, 2012 08:30:37 PM  read our daily bulletin from Twitter feeds - read here

 

 

 

 

 


 

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US sues Lebanese firms for 'laundering Hezbollah funds'

The US federal government on Thursday escalated its campaign to stanch the flow of what it says is dirty money to the Shiite militant group Hezbollah. Prosecutors filed a civil suit aimed at financially punishing American and Lebanese businesses that the government charges were behind a Hezbollah-controlled global network that laundered huge sums in South American cocaine proceeds. read more

 

Good News First; Lebanon will have sustained growth in Q4 but cost of living will be at an all time high threatening a sustained stagflation into 2012

There is deep concern among financial circles that rating agencies may downgrade Lebanon in the near future if the Cabinet’s efforts to pass the budget bill hit an impasse. Finance Minister Mohammed Safadi, who is aware that this initial draft is unlikely to receive support without some compromises, has made clear that he is willing to drop his proposal to raise the Value Added Tax from 10 percent to 12 percent, but only on the condition that the Finance Ministry does not allocate additional funds for social and medical benefits.“I don’t mind taking out new taxes or annulling tax hikes [of the VAT], but this should be coupled with reducing equivalent expenditures,” the minister said earlier.The minister said he feared that the public debt could rise to $60 billion at the end of 2012 if measures were not adopted soon to cut spending and increase revenues.

Related

LEBANON RISK OUTLOOK The New Risk Profile of the Region - 1/4 -Lebanon to refinance USD 2bln in Eurobonds -
CDS Spreads
Renewed STAGFLATION threatens 2011 indicators 

Are you ready for an economy that has high inflation and high unemployment at the same time? Well, welcome to "Stagflation 2011." Stagflation exists when inflation and unemployment are both at high levels at the same time. Of course we all know about the high unemployment situation already. Unemployment rate has been hovering around 10 percent all year so far. But now thanks to rapidly rising food prices and the exploding price of oil, rampant inflation is being added to the equation.  Read more >>

 

 

BNP Paribas SA (BNP), Societe Generale (GLE) SA and Groupe Credit Agricole had their credit ratings cut by Moody’s Investors Service,

BNP Paribas SA (BNP), Societe Generale (GLE) SA and Groupe Credit Agricole had their credit ratings cut by Moody’s Investors Service, which cited funding constraints and deteriorating economic

The region is “entering a challenging loan and bond refinancing cycle, sandp report

About $25 billion in bonds and sukuk, or Islamic bonds, from Gulf issuers will fall due in 2012, with the annual maturity total rising to about $35 billion in 2014, according to a report by the rating agency Standard & Poor's. Companies in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries will face rising refinancing risks in the next three years as the amount of debt maturing increases “significantly,” Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services said..


Related

Rising debt maturities in the Gulf pose refinancing risks, says S&P
Despite the sell-off from peak levels reached in August and September of this year and news that well known hedge fund managers including John Paulson have been paring back their exposure to the metal, exchange traded funds that track the price of gold bullion remain the best performers year to date (long only, unleveraged) in the commodity space (up roughly 20% YTD). From a technical standpoint, after consolidating for much of September, and rising again in October only to fall back in recent

ANALYSIS _ Economic impact of Arab spring revisited 1 of 2 (Investment and Business Reports)
  Dubai not restructuring debt but may refinance it (Arab Markets)
UAE ranked fifth worldwide for efficiency of government spending (Arab Economies)
Abu Dhabi residential property prices stabilise in fourth quarter as project delays limit supply (Real Estate)
 
   
 

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