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Debating Debtflation:
the Case of Lebanon and
Greece
By Ma'an Barazy
alwikala.com
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The Greek crisis has brought sovereign debt to the forefront, capturing markets' attention. We think another dimension of the sovereign issue, the inflation risks inherent in high levels of public debt for economies that can print their own currency, is being overlooked by the markets. High levels of public debt in many advanced economies raise the spectre of inflation, in our view: if high debt is deemed undesirable, but the political will for higher taxes and lower spending
although present might not materialized in the coming budget
as political consensus remains fragile over such tax issues,
then ‘soft default' through inflation becomes a possibility
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Special Coverage
A New Currency
Profile for the GCC- Union Delayed but Rerisking after Dubai will mean The End
of 'Quasi-Sovereigns?'
By Ma'an Barazy
GCC currencies have long-standing links to the U.S. dollar. Kuwait exited its
dollar peg in 2007, pegging instead to a basket in which the dollar dominates
but the other countries maintain the pegs. While granting some macroeconomic
stability, these pegs limit monetary autonomy as it implies that the real
interest rates in the region are linked to U.S. rates. GCC countries have
planned to create a monetary union loosely modelled on that of the EMU,
READ all of our wires on the Dubai
debt debacle clickhere
Year-end Newsletter – Closing Out
2009
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Figures released by the Beirut stock
Exchange indicate that total trading volume reached
102.6 million shares in 2009, a decrease of 3 % from
the previous year, while aggregate to $1bn ,down
39%from a turnover of $1.7 in 2008. Market
capitalization increased by 34 % to $12.8bn
year-on-year, of which 66.7% was in banking stocks,
30.7% in Solidere stocks, 2,06%in industrial stocks,
0.28% in funds, and 0.27% in trading stocks. More…
Byblos Bank Syria (BBS), the Syrian
affiliate of the Byblos Bank Group, listed all of
its shares on December 17th on
the Damascus S ecurities Exchange (DSE). BBS became
the 7th bank
and the 12th institution
to be listed on the DSE. Other banks listed on the
DSE include the Syrian affiliates of BLOM bank ,
Bank Audi and Banque BEMO, as well as the Arab Bank
Syria, the International Bank for Trade & Finance
and the Syria International Islamic Bank.The DSE
officially started trading last March, with trading
taking place two days a week . More…
The Beirut stock exchange (BSE)
approved the listing, trading and pricing of Bank of
Beirut’s 2,400,000 Preferred Shares Series E ,
which contributed to increase the capital of the
bank . The nominal value of each of the new
preferred shares is $0.8. As a result , the Bank’s
capital is distributed between 44,849,375 Common
Shares , 2,920,000 Preferred Shares Series C,
4,000,000 Preferred Shares Series D, 2,400,000
Preferred Shares Series E and 3,000,000 Preferred
shares Series F. Bank of Beirut sal posted net
profits of $50.9m in the first 9 months of 2009, up
4 % from the same period of the previous year. More…
Standard & Poors raised its long-term
counterparty credit ratings on BLOM Bank , Bank Med
and Bank Audi to ‘B’ from ‘B-‘, AND revised the
ratings outlook to ‘positive’ from ‘stable’ . It
also raised its short-term counterparty credit
rating on Bank Med and Bank Audi to ‘B’ from ‘C’ .
Standard & Poor’s does not rate Byblos Bank sal. The
agency attributed the upgrades to its earlier
upgrade of Lebanon’s long-and short-term sovereign
credit ratings. More…
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